As of August 31, 90% of the corn crop across the top 18 corn-producing states had reached the dough stage, just below the five-year average of 91%. Denting reached 58%, trailing the average by 2 points, while 15% of the crop had matured, one point ahead of normal pace.

However, crop quality indicators were less encouraging:

• 69% rated good/excellent (down 2 points from last week)

• 22% rated fair

• 9% rated poor/very poor

The condition drop is notable as input costs remain high and marketing strategies hinge on yield potential. Weather-related stress and uneven kernel development in some regions are adding to growers' uncertainty.

Soybean Conditions Drop Sharply

The soybean crop showed a steeper decline in quality compared to corn. By August 31:

• 94% of soybeans were setting pods, matching the five-year average

• 11% had begun dropping leaves, one point ahead of normal

Crop ratings across the 18 top-producing states:

• 65% good/excellent (down 4 points)

• 25% fair

• 10% poor/very poor

This sharper week-over-week drop raises concern as pod-fill concludes and harvest prep begins. Many producers are now recalibrating yield expectations and exploring crop insurance options amid volatile commodity prices.

Wheat and Oat Harvests Nearly Done

In the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest, spring wheat harvest hit 72% complete, just ahead of the five-year average of 71%. With favorable weather in late August, progress has been steady, and most growers expect an average to slightly above-average crop.

The oat harvest stands at 88% complete in the nine leading oat-producing states, just one point shy of normal pace. Quality reports have been mixed, though test weights remain within acceptable ranges.

Policy Implications and Market Outlook

These mixed crop conditions could influence commodity pricing trends, export competitiveness, and federal support decisions as the fall harvest season ramps up. With the 2025 Farm Bill debate ongoing and trade dynamics in flux, USDA data will play a critical role in shaping farm-level risk management and federal spending priorities.

Producers and agronomists are encouraged to monitor late-season weather patterns, finalize precision agriculture plans, and adjust marketing strategies based on the evolving national outlook.