Markets

Corn and Soybeans Hold Firm as Wheat Pulls Back After Rally on Profit-Taking Pressure

Mixed grain futures ended the week with soybeans extending gains, corn stabilizing and wheat retreating as traders weighed weather, exports and geopolitical risks.

Emily Trask
Emily Trask is a U.S.-based journalist covering agricultural trade, policy, and agri-food markets, with a focus on U.S.-Latin America relations and their impact on global agribusiness.

Soybean futures extended their rally, corn erased early losses and wheat retreated from multi-year highs on Friday, July 24, as traders locked in profits while continuing to evaluate U.S. weather, export demand and geopolitical tensions in the Black Sea region. The mixed close matters because these markets remain highly sensitive to changes in crop conditions, international trade flows and global supply risks, all of which will influence pricing decisions for producers, merchandisers and investors as the 2026 growing season advances.

The session reflected a shift in market psychology after several days of aggressive buying. Wheat futures came under the strongest pressure as traders booked profits following an impressive rally, while soybeans remained supported by strong demand expectations, including continued optimism surrounding Chinese purchases. Corn, meanwhile, recovered from moderate early losses thanks to technical buying that emerged before the close. Weather forecasts continued to attract close attention, with scattered rainfall expected across portions of the Midwest and Plains but generally insufficient to deliver widespread relief, while warmer-than-normal temperatures remain in the outlook for much of the central United States.

Corn steadies despite early selling pressure

Corn futures demonstrated resilience after opening lower on technical selling and profit-taking. September corn added 0.25 cents to $4.6425 per bushel, while December futures finished unchanged at $4.8750. Export sales totaled 40.7 million bushels for the week ending July 16, landing near the lower end of analysts' expectations. Export shipments reached 70.3 million bushels, led by Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Spain and Venezuela, highlighting continued international demand despite slower overall sales activity. The weekly chart also illustrated how December futures recovered from Friday's early decline following a strong advance throughout the week.

Corn Market Snapshot

IndicatorValueMarket Impact
September Futures$4.6425/bu? Up 0.25¢
December Futures$4.8750/buUnchanged
Export Sales40.7 million bushelsLower end of estimates

Soybeans continue to outperform on demand optimism

Soybeans remained the strongest performer among the major grain contracts. September soybeans climbed 9.25 cents to $ 12.4025 per bushel, while November futures gained 9.75 cents to $ 12.5350. The rally was supported by expectations of stronger Chinese buying and confirmation that private exporters reported sales of 4.6 million bushels for delivery during the 2026-27 marketing year. Although weekly export shipments slowed to 11 million bushels, total export sales reached 58.6 million bushels after new-crop commitments offset weaker old-crop demand. The weekly futures chart showed soybeans maintaining an upward trend despite intraday volatility.

Soybean Market Snapshot

IndicatorValueMarket Impact
September Futures$12.4025/bu? +9.25¢
November Futures$12.5350/bu? +9.75¢
Export Sales58.6 million bushelsMid-range of estimates

Wheat pauses after reaching multi-year highs

Wheat futures experienced the sharpest correction of the session as traders locked in profits after recent gains. September Chicago SRW wheat fell 18.25 cents to $ 6.78 per bushel, while Kansas City HRW September futures declined 14.5 cents to $ 7.4525. Even with Friday's losses, the market remains supported by uncertainty surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, weather concerns in major producing regions and questions over global export availability. Russia continues to project another large wheat crop, while France reported that 99% of its soft wheat harvest has been completed with 65% of the crop rated good to excellent.

Wheat Market Snapshot

IndicatorValueMarket Impact
Chicago SRW September$6.78/bu? -18.25¢
Kansas City HRW September$7.4525/bu? -14.5¢
Weekly Export Sales10.7 million bushelsLower end of estimates

Looking ahead, weather forecasts, export activity and geopolitical developments will remain the primary catalysts for grain markets. Limited rainfall across key production areas could continue supporting corn and soybean prices if heat intensifies, while wheat traders are expected to closely monitor Black Sea developments and harvest progress around the world. For U.S. agriculture, these dynamics will continue influencing commodity prices, farm profitability, input purchasing decisions, crop insurance strategies and broader supply chain planning during the remainder of the growing season.

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