Food Shift Could Prevent 15 Million Deaths Annually, Scientists Warn
Switching to plant-based diets could save 15 million lives a year and cut farm emissions by 15%, scientists say in a major global report.
A sweeping new scientific report has reignited debate over the role of food in shaping not only individual health outcomes but the planet's long-term livability. According to the EAT-Lancet Commission, transitioning to healthier, largely plant-based diets worldwide could prevent up to 15 million premature deaths annually and reduce agricultural greenhouse gas emissions by 15%. The findings, released in the Commission's updated 2025 review, stress that without a major transformation in global food systems, even a full transition to clean energy will not be enough to prevent climate collapse.
"If we do not transition away from the unsustainable food path we're on today, we will fail on the climate agenda. We will fail on the biodiversity agenda. We will fail on food security," warned Johan Rockström, co-author and director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.
A vegetable seller sorts fresh produce at a market in Conakry, Guinea, Sept. 19, 2025 (AP Photo/Misper Apawu, File)
The Commission's original 2019 report introduced the concept of a "planetary health diet", centered on grains, vegetables, legumes, fruits, nuts, and limited portions of animal protein. The updated recommendations remain consistent, with evidence continuing to support a reduction in red meat and dairy intake-particularly in high-income countries, which bear a disproportionate share of emissions and have greater dietary flexibility. The authors emphasize that the dietary guidelines are based on health outcomes, not environmental metrics, yet the overlap between personal health and ecological sustainability is striking.
While the idea of cutting meat consumption may seem politically fraught, the science shows it could deliver emissions reductions on par with eliminating the annual output of countries like Russia. This shift alone could help keep global warming under the critical 1.5°C threshold. Additional gains could come from improving crop productivity, curbing food waste, and adopting regenerative agricultural practices.
A person picks apples at an orchard in Wolfville, Nova Scotia, Monday, Oct. 9, 2023. (Darren Calabrese/The Canadian Press via AP, File)
Beyond emissions, the report investigates food's contribution to broader planetary stress-touching on deforestation, biodiversity loss, water pollution, and land degradation. It paints food systems as the primary driver pushing the Earth past ecological boundaries.
However, achieving such systemic change is complicated by deep global inequities. Nearly half the world lacks access to nutritious food, clean environments, or fair labor conditions in food production. The Commission highlights how ethnic minorities, Indigenous groups, women, children, and conflict-affected populations face unique vulnerabilities within current food systems.
This social justice dimension is especially relevant ahead of the upcoming UN climate negotiations, where scientists are urging governments to formally integrate food policy into national climate strategies. Rockström noted that ignoring food's centrality "takes us in a direction that makes us more and more fragile" in terms of supply chains, public health, and ecological stability.
Farmers harvest rice crop in a paddy field on the outskirts of Guwahati, India, May 24, 2025. (AP Photo/Anupam Nath, File)
For the U.S. agriculture sector, these findings carry weight. As policy discussions around the next Farm Bill and USDA programs unfold, there's growing momentum to align subsidies and incentives with climate-resilient practices, nutritional outcomes, and sustainable production models. This could involve shifting support toward pulse crops, specialty vegetables, and agroecological farming, while managing the economic impacts on livestock and conventional grain producers.
Ultimately, the EAT-Lancet report is not a prescriptive mandate but a data-driven framework showing how food choices affect global systems. Even small changes-like eating red meat just once a week-can yield measurable benefits. While implementation will require cultural sensitivity and economic adaptation, the path forward is scientifically clear: a healthier planet starts on our plates.