U.S. ag meteorologists are forecasting normal to above-normal temperatures for July across much of the Corn Belt, Plains, and Delta. The transition from a wet June to a hot, dry July is already evident, with limited rain windows and the risk of a heat dome forming over key production zones.

These trends could be especially disruptive for corn during pollination and soybeans entering reproductive stages, as both crops are sensitive to heat stress and low soil moisture. For livestock operations, extreme heat may trigger forage quality declines and affect feed conversion.

Agronomic Impacts & Risks

• Soil moisture is declining, increasing irrigation demands and energy-related input costs.

• Crop insurance claims could rise due to drought-induced yield losses.

• Livestock producers may need to adjust feed strategies amid pasture stress.

  

• Supply chains could see fluctuations in grain volumes and delivery schedules.

• Precision ag tools like variable-rate irrigation and moisture mapping will be critical for sustainability.

Recommended Actions for Producers

Experts recommend that farmers and ag advisors:

• Track daily temperature and heat index data to fine-tune irrigation.

• Review crop insurance coverage for heat or drought endorsements.

• Reevaluate input applications to adjust for heat stress timing.

• Invest in field-based monitoring tools to detect early drought signs.

• Strengthen logistics plans to minimize harvest or transport disruptions if heat impacts timing.