Regional Outlook and July Forecasts Paul Pastelok, AccuWeather's lead long-range forecaster, noted that while states like Illinois (44% in drought) and Michigan (24.9% abnormally dry) face water stress, Ohio remains drought-free as of the July 3 U.S. Drought Monitor.

"Those areas need to replenish moisture after a hot spell that caused significant evaporation," Pastelok said. "But overall, the outlook is favorable, and July offers more chances for needed rainfall."

Though high temperatures are expected in the region, they won't be consistent, and swings in temperature could promote additional rainfall. The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) aligns with this view: July will bring above-average rainfall to the Ohio Valley.

Looking Ahead to August: No Major Concerns Forecasts for August remain positive. The eastern Ohio Valley and Tennessee are expected to receive more moisture, which could ensure a smooth transition into harvest season in the eastern Corn Belt. Current corn and soybean conditions set a strong foundation for high yields.

While severe weather events like hail or strong winds could still occur, Pastelok emphasized that "the risk of severe weather is not exceptionally high right now." Agronomic conditions in the region currently allow farmers some breathing room.